Trident
CrowdMood Trident
Six prongs on one board. The reason to come back is whether crude is shouting while Nasdaq is mute — the oil-tight, duration-pain world in the thesis.
Trident
CrowdMood Trident is a long/short overlay on Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, WTI, gold, and euro FX. Stance and a sample track versus buy-and-hold.
Dow
LongLast · 4 bars since last turn
- 2Y +29.7% Buy & hold +24.7% Excess +5.0%
- 1Y +28.4% Buy & hold +17.5% Excess +10.9%
- 6M +12.9% Buy & hold +12.5% Excess +0.4%
- 3M +6.2% Buy & hold +0.6% Excess +5.6%
- 1M +1.3% Buy & hold -1.9% Excess +3.2%
S&P 500
LongLast · 34 bars since last turn
- 2Y +18.5% Buy & hold +26.7% Excess -8.2%
- 1Y -0.1% Buy & hold +16.2% Excess -16.3%
- 6M -3.0% Buy & hold +10.7% Excess -13.7%
- 3M -3.0% Buy & hold -0.0% Excess -3.0%
- 1M -2.5% Buy & hold -2.5% Excess 0.0%
Nasdaq 100
LongLast · 1 bars since last turn
- 2Y +37.4% Buy & hold +41.0% Excess -3.6%
- 1Y +9.3% Buy & hold +18.7% Excess -9.4%
- 6M +2.8% Buy & hold +8.8% Excess -6.0%
- 3M +0.5% Buy & hold -7.3% Excess +7.8%
- 1M +3.2% Buy & hold -3.6% Excess +6.8%
Crude
ShortLast · 6 bars since last turn
- 2Y +48.3% Buy & hold +92.2% Excess -43.9%
- 1Y -8.2% Buy & hold +111.7% Excess -119.9%
- 6M -23.2% Buy & hold +64.9% Excess -88.1%
- 3M +20.9% Buy & hold +47.8% Excess -26.9%
- 1M +16.9% Buy & hold +25.5% Excess -8.6%
Gold
LongLast · 47 bars since last turn
- 2Y +24.2% Buy & hold +117.3% Excess -93.1%
- 1Y +6.6% Buy & hold +54.4% Excess -47.8%
- 6M -3.1% Buy & hold -5.6% Excess +2.5%
- 3M -4.3% Buy & hold +1.8% Excess -6.1%
- 1M -3.2% Buy & hold -3.2% Excess 0.0%
Euro
LongLast · 9 bars since last turn
- 2Y +13.0% Buy & hold +3.4% Excess +9.6%
- 1Y -0.1% Buy & hold -1.9% Excess +1.8%
- 6M -0.4% Buy & hold +0.1% Excess -0.5%
- 3M -1.6% Buy & hold -0.6% Excess -1.0%
- 1M -0.9% Buy & hold 0.0% Excess -0.9%
Continuous futures (roll gaps spliced out). Next-bar fill. Long and short. Session sample is as long as the 180-minute feed allows (about two years). No costs. Not a live account.
What Trident is
Trident is named for the futures that sit on this desk’s chain: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (duration, including the AI multiple), WTI (the barrel), gold (the real-rate check), and euro FX (dollar and liquidity). The same read sits on all six so a split is visible. We publish stance, a sample track versus buy-and-hold, and the trade list — long in, short in, P&L per closed turn — out to about two years, as far as the 180-minute feed goes.
The card chart is price, not the overlay. Dates sit on the x-axis; last print sits on the y-axis. Open a prong for a longer window. If the last turn was many bars ago, the tape should look boring. Boring is information. Most visitors should leave without trading.
Thesis
If crude’s Trident prong confirms a Strait column, or the Dow prong rolls while AI headlines stay euphoric, that is the check. The next note is a test of the last one.
CSV / API for the household tape
Operators who need the household series can still license a documented CSV, webhook, or research API. That product is not Trident, and it is not a promised Sharpe.
- No execution, brokerage, or guaranteed edge.
- If the futures feed dies, we show the last cache and say so.
- Most visitors should leave without trading. Quiet prongs are information.