Trident

Crude

WTI. Trident overlay. · 2026-10-30 03:00 UTC

Last 103.2

Long

4 bars since last turn

Sample total +63.9% Buy & hold +115.7%

Excess -51.8%

CAGR +28.5% Buy & hold +47.8%

Time in 99.3%

Closed turns 58 Win rate 44.8%

Max pullback -36.1%

Vendor futures price. UTC on the x-axis, price on the y-axis.

Trident (green) vs holding the contract (grey). Index starts at 100.

2Y +63.9% Buy & hold +115.7% Excess -51.8%
1Y +16.3% Buy & hold +143.4% Excess -127.1%
6M +9.5% Buy & hold +42.0% Excess -32.5%
3M +34.6% Buy & hold +51.5% Excess -16.9%
1M +10.6% Buy & hold +20.6% Excess -10.0%

Yahoo vendor futures series, with no heuristic roll-gap deletion. Next-bar model return. Long and short. About two years when available. No costs. Not a live account.

Trade history

2026-10-16 15:00 UTC · Open Long in 98.62 +9.6%
2026-10-14 03:00 UTC Short in 94.54 -4.3%
2026-09-18 09:00 UTC Long in 96.22 -1.7%
2026-09-11 06:00 UTC Short in 99.84 -1.8%
2026-08-13 15:00 UTC Long in 81.81 +22.0%
2026-08-11 09:00 UTC Short in 82.16 +0.4%
2026-07-31 09:00 UTC Long in 84.86 +8.8%
2026-07-22 03:00 UTC Short in 85.14 -5.2%
2026-07-13 18:00 UTC Long in 78.0 +9.2%
2026-07-08 09:00 UTC Short in 74.08 -1.1%
2026-05-22 00:00 UTC Long in 97.47 -17.4%
2026-05-18 18:00 UTC Short in 102.45 -0.1%
2026-04-28 15:00 UTC Long in 100.24 -4.0%
2026-04-24 03:00 UTC Short in 95.94 -4.5%
2026-04-01 12:00 UTC Long in 99.07 +11.3%
2026-03-26 12:00 UTC Short in 93.7 -9.8%
2026-03-12 12:00 UTC Long in 95.68 +1.2%
2026-03-06 15:00 UTC Short in 92.4 -2.0%
2026-02-24 18:00 UTC Long in 66.3 +14.2%
2026-02-23 00:00 UTC Short in 65.89 -0.6%
2026-02-06 15:00 UTC Long in 64.3 +2.5%
2026-01-29 15:00 UTC Short in 65.5 -3.4%
2026-01-22 00:00 UTC Long in 60.74 +7.8%
2026-01-12 09:00 UTC Short in 58.6 -3.7%
2026-01-07 09:00 UTC Long in 56.84 +3.1%
2026-01-06 12:00 UTC Short in 58.13 +2.2%
2025-12-31 12:00 UTC Long in 58.25 -0.2%
2025-12-22 21:00 UTC Short in 57.88 -0.6%
2025-12-02 15:00 UTC Long in 58.91 -1.7%
2025-11-26 00:00 UTC Short in 58.18 -1.3%
2025-10-28 00:00 UTC Long in 61.29 -5.1%
2025-10-23 03:00 UTC Short in 60.88 -0.7%
2025-10-06 15:00 UTC Long in 61.74 -1.4%
2025-09-24 18:00 UTC Short in 64.81 +4.7%
2025-08-12 12:00 UTC Long in 63.57 +2.0%
2025-07-31 03:00 UTC Short in 69.99 +9.2%
2025-07-23 12:00 UTC Long in 64.9 +7.8%
2025-07-18 12:00 UTC Short in 68.48 +5.2%
2025-06-20 15:00 UTC Long in 75.52 -4.5%
2025-06-20 00:00 UTC Short in 75.67 +0.2%
2025-06-17 18:00 UTC Long in 75.49 +0.2%
2025-06-10 15:00 UTC Short in 65.23 -5.9%
2025-05-28 12:00 UTC Long in 61.67 +5.8%
2025-05-27 00:00 UTC Short in 61.35 -0.5%
2025-05-23 15:00 UTC Long in 61.54 -0.3%
2025-05-20 00:00 UTC Short in 62.66 +1.8%
2025-05-13 09:00 UTC Long in 62.7 -0.1%
2025-05-12 15:00 UTC Short in 62.14 -0.9%
2025-04-28 00:00 UTC Long in 62.9 +3.1%
2025-04-21 06:00 UTC Short in 63.24 +0.5%
2025-02-17 03:00 UTC Long in 70.74 -8.0%
2025-02-11 15:00 UTC Short in 73.2 +3.4%
2025-01-23 09:00 UTC Long in 75.8 -3.4%
2025-01-16 03:00 UTC Short in 80.1 +5.4%
2024-12-19 09:00 UTC Long in 70.42 +13.7%
2024-12-12 09:00 UTC Short in 70.45 0.0%
2024-11-22 12:00 UTC Long in 70.64 -0.3%
2024-11-21 12:00 UTC Short in 69.95 -1.0%
2024-11-14 03:00 UTC Long in 67.97 +2.9%

The curve is the downloaded session sample, marked to market, including the open turn. Long and short stay in the market.

All prongs