Now Overheating 3M Overheating 6M Late cycle 1Y Late cycle
CPI 3.4% +0.1 CPI energy 16.1% +1.6 PPI 5.4% +0.6 Michigan 4.2 -0.4 Jobless 4.1 0.0 Philly Fed 47.4 +6.0 WTI 104.76 +3.4 US 10Y 4.996 +0.0 S&P 500 7655.5 +30.5 Nasdaq 100 29283.0 +130.8 Gold 4325.2 -26.7 Dow 52394.0 -46.0 Trident Dow LONG 52394.0 Trident S&P 500 LONG 7655.5 Trident Nasdaq 100 SHORT 29283.0 Trident Crude SHORT 104.75 Trident Gold LONG 4325.2 Trident Euro LONG 1.1585
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Rates · commodities · the cycle

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2026-09-15 13:47 UTC · CrowdMood Desk

Factory surveys 2026-08: public prints, not a cut hall pass

Philly Fed factory 47.4 (+6.00 from prior, 2026-08) · Empire State factory 7.6 (-13.00 from prior, 2026-09) · Dallas Fed factory 11.6 (+10.30 from prior, 2026-08).

The desk read

A firm factory print is goods still moving. It does not retire depletion, and it does not pin the 10-year if energy CPI is still loud. Treat this as a pulse, not a permission slip for duration. Tape: WTI 103.44, US 10Y 5.002.

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